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System1, Inc. (SST)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 revenue was $78.1M, up sequentially and above Wall Street consensus ($73.3M)*; Adjusted EBITDA rose 18% YoY to $11.7M, while GAAP net loss improved to $(21.5)M .
  • Gross profit increased 7% YoY to $27.9M and Adjusted Gross Profit reached $41.0M; Products segment strength (Startpage, MapQuest, CouponFollow) offset Marketing weakness amid advertising volatility .
  • Management withheld Q3 2025 guidance due to uncertainty at a key advertising partner and broader demand/tariff volatility, maintaining a cautious stance despite operational improvements .
  • Structural/operational updates: 1-for-10 reverse split (effective June 12), segment realignment to Marketing and Products, ongoing material weaknesses with a remediation plan; liquidity remained solid with $63.6M cash and $50M revolver availability .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Products-led outperformance: Products revenue +34% YoY to $24.0M and Products adjusted gross profit +32% YoY to $22.7M driven by Startpage, MapQuest, and CouponFollow momentum .
  • CEO highlighted AI-driven turnaround and margin expansion in organic products; “continued turnaround driven by AI adoption across our entire company” (Michael Blend) .
  • Cost discipline: Salaries/benefits and SG&A down YoY; operating loss improved to $(15.9)M vs $(29.1)M, reflecting expense reductions and mix shift to higher-margin Products .

What Went Wrong

  • Top-line decline: Revenue fell 17% YoY on Marketing softness; RTAC eased to 117% from 120%, and TAC decreased to $114.9M from $120.2M as advertising demand remained volatile .
  • No forward guidance: Company did not provide Q3 guidance due to uncertainty at a key partner and tariff policy risk, limiting visibility and potentially pressuring sentiment .
  • Ongoing controls issues: Material weaknesses in ICFR persisted; remediation is underway but not yet effective, a governance overhang for investors .

Financial Results

Consolidated P&L and Margins (oldest → newest)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($M)$75.6 $74.5 $78.1
Gross Profit ($M)$31.8 $28.4 $27.9
Adjusted Gross Profit ($M)$44.7 $41.5 $41.0
Net Loss Attributable ($M)$(14.2) $(15.9) $(17.5)
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$17.9 $12.1 $11.7
Diluted EPS (GAAP)N/A$(2.07) approx (derived)$(2.23)
Gross Margin (%)42.1% (31.8/75.6) 38.1% (28.4/74.5) 35.7% (27.9/78.1)
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)23.7% (17.9/75.6) 16.2% (12.1/74.5) 15.0% (11.7/78.1)
Net Income Margin (%)(18.7)% (−14.2/75.6) (21.3)% (−15.9/74.5) (22.4)% (−17.5/78.1)

Note: Q1 diluted EPS row is approximate if computed from available net loss/shares; the definitive diluted EPS for Q1 was not disclosed in press materials. Q2 diluted EPS (GAAP) per 10-Q is $(2.23) .

Segment Breakdown (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)

SegmentQ2 2024 Revenue ($M)Q2 2025 Revenue ($M)YoYQ2 2024 Segment Adj. Gross Profit ($M)Q2 2025 Segment Adj. Gross Profit ($M)YoY
Marketing$76.7 $54.1 (29)% $23.6 $19.6 (17)%
Products$17.9 $24.0 +34% $17.2 $22.7 +32%
Total$94.6 $78.1 (17)% $40.9 $42.3 +3%

KPIs (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)

KPIQ2 2024Q2 2025Commentary
Products Sessions (Millions)464.9 522.5 +57.6M YoY; Startpage DAUs +25% in June
Products RPS ($/Session)$0.04 $0.05 +$0.01 YoY
Marketing TAC ($M)$120.2 $114.9 Spend reduction amid demand volatility
Marketing RTAC (%)120% 117% Slight efficiency decline
US Revenue ($M)$91.2 $75.2 Mix remained US-heavy

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueQ3 2025NoneNo guidance provided due to partner marketplace uncertainty/tariffsMaintained no guidance
Gross ProfitQ3 2025NoneNo guidanceMaintained no guidance
Adjusted Gross ProfitQ3 2025NoneNo guidanceMaintained no guidance
Adjusted EBITDAQ3 2025NoneNo guidanceMaintained no guidance
RevenueQ1 2025$69–$71M Actual: $74.5MRaised vs guidance (beat)
Gross ProfitQ1 2025$25–$27M Actual: $28.4MRaised vs guidance (beat)
Adjusted Gross ProfitQ1 2025$38–$40M Actual: $41.5MRaised vs guidance (beat)
Adjusted EBITDAQ1 2025$9–$11M Actual: $12.1MRaised vs guidance (beat)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024 and Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
AI/Technology InitiativesAutomation and AI drove 500%+ YoY campaign launches in Q4; agentic coding and generative AI integrated into RAMP in Q1 “Turnaround driven by AI adoption across our entire company” (CEO) Sustained emphasis; scaling to products and platform
Advertising Partner/Market VolatilityRenewed Google agreements to 2027; cautious outlook; no Q2 guidance in Q1 due to uncertainty No Q3 guidance given partner marketplace uncertainty and tariff risks Persistent macro/partner risk
Segment StrategyTransition to Marketing and Products operating segments Products strength (Startpage/MapQuest/CouponFollow) vs Marketing softness Mix shift toward Products
Governance/ControlsMaterial weaknesses previously disclosed (via 10-K context)Material weaknesses persist with active remediation plan Remediation underway, not complete
Capital StructureDebt repurchases in 2024; leverage focus 1-for-10 reverse split effective June 12, 2025 Share consolidation; neutral to ops

Note: Q2 2025 call transcript content was unavailable due to a retrieval error; themes reflect press release and 10‑Q narrative .

Management Commentary

  • “Our strong performance this quarter reflects System1's continued turnaround driven by AI adoption across our entire company.” — Michael Blend, CEO .
  • “We are pleased with our second quarter financial results, specifically our 6% and 18% year‑over‑year increase in adjusted gross profit and adjusted EBITDA, respectively.” — Tridivesh Kidambi, CFO .
  • Product highlights: Startpage DAUs +25% YoY (June), MapQuest white‑label solution launch, CouponFollow organic sessions +44% YoY .

Q&A Highlights

  • Q2 2025 earnings call transcript could not be retrieved due to a database inconsistency; therefore, Q&A specifics and any intra‑quarter guidance clarifications were not accessible via primary sources [12:—].
  • Narrative clarifications are drawn from the 8‑K/press release and 10‑Q, including the decision to withhold Q3 guidance and segment performance drivers .

Estimates Context

How results compared to Wall Street consensus (S&P Global):

MetricQ4 2024 EstimateQ4 2024 ActualQ1 2025 EstimateQ1 2025 ActualQ2 2025 EstimateQ2 2025 Actual
Revenue ($M)91.3*75.6 69.9*74.5 73.3*78.1
Primary EPS ($)(2.30)*N/A(3.50)*N/A(2.60)*N/A

Notes: Primary EPS actuals from S&P Global were −1.469 (Q4 2024), −1.900 (Q1 2025), and −1.947 (Q2 2025)*; GAAP diluted EPS per 10‑Q for Q2 2025 was −$2.23 . Values with asterisks were retrieved from S&P Global (Capital IQ).
Implication: Company beat revenue estimates in Q1 and Q2; EPS losses were less negative vs consensus in S&P Global terms, but GAAP diluted EPS in 10‑Q for Q2 was −$2.23, reflecting share count and classification effects .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Products segment is structurally improving and driving margin expansion; adjusted gross profit growth (+6% YoY) despite lower consolidated revenue underscores mix shift benefits .
  • Marketing remains exposed to partner marketplace dynamics; RTAC drift and TAC reduction signal prudent spend management amid volatile demand .
  • With no Q3 guidance, near‑term visibility is limited; monitor partner developments (Google/Microsoft) and tariff policy impacts referenced by management .
  • Liquidity/credit: $63.6M cash and $50M revolver availability support operations; term loan outstanding ~$270.1M principal with fair value ~$139.1M implies discounted trading and refinancing optionality .
  • Governance: Material weaknesses persist; remediation plan is active—progress here is key for valuation multiple and institutional sponsorship .
  • Corporate actions: 1-for-10 reverse split effected; all per‑share metrics retro‑adjusted—use post‑split shares for modeling .
  • Operational catalysts: Startpage DAUs, MapQuest white‑label launch, CouponFollow session growth underpin Products revenue durability; continued AI adoption is central to management’s turnaround narrative .

S&P Global disclaimer: All consensus estimate values marked with an asterisk (*) were retrieved from S&P Global (Capital IQ).